Tobold's Blog
Saturday, April 21, 2007
 
Tracking deflation

I mentioned before that Lord of the Rings Online is similar to World of Warcraft. That of course also means it will suffer from some of the same problems, like gold farmers. So I surfed to the site of a recently mentioned company I won't link to, and no surprise, LotRO gold was already on offer, 3 days before release. Now cheating with bought gold is obviously the most useful very early in the game. And at the same time there is still very little gold in the system. Which means that if you buy gold for dollars, the price now will be the highest ever. Over the coming months the gold price will fall, but that price development can give us interesting information; for example if Turbine actively banned gold farmer accounts in a timely manner, gold prices would remain high.

So just for the record, as a starting point of comparison, currently 100 gold in LotRO cost $500. By the way, you can't compare that to World of Warcraft, because the purchase power of a gold piece in LotRO is higher. Actually I'm surprised 100 gold is even on offer. With 1 gold being 1000 silver in LotRO, and the "evil farming exploit" earning you 100 silver or 0.1 gold per hour, you'd need to farm 1000 hours to earn those 100 gold. At 50 cents per hour, you wouldn't even get a Chinese to work for you. And the servers aren't even live for 1000 hours yet, you'd need several people farm that much. Plus there is a level cap of 15. Somewhere people must have ways to earn much more than the farming income of 100 silver per hour.
Comments:
Don't forget that when new MMORPGs come out the chance is high that they allow duping through bugs. Thats why WoW Gold was available instantly, even without people farming it. Might be the same with LotR, too.
 
There were a few major exploits that went unfixed for about two weeks that enabled players to easily gain 10-20g per day. Turbine gave warnings for this activity and did not revoke the coin. That's where the majority of it has come from.

-Keen
http://www.keenandgraev.com
 
I'm sure Turbine will have a close eye on gold/silver transfers between characters and accounts. It will not be hard to detect the farmers/buyers.
 
@Bach: I suspect it is a lot harder to detect farmers/buyers by transfers alone than you think. There will be hundreds of thousands of players, tons of which will transfer sums of money regularly to alts, friends or people they conducted a trade with. You can set up filters to come up with likely suspects, but these may be circumvented. Then there's the fact you have to weigh in what it means if you harass a client who is innocent. That client is likely to be seriously annoyed his account is closed off and he's being accused of being a farmer or gold buyer. For that reason alone gaming companies will tread carefully and only ban the most obnoxious folks (exploiters, bots, etc).
 
"A Chinese" ??
 
"A Chinese" ??

I was stereotyping. My apologies.
 
"A Chinese" ??

I think what tobold was getting at is that if you are american, you are fat, use your credit card often and eat hot dogs and apple pie....and if you are Chinese, you farm gold....thats just how it is.
 
Because farming was so easily botted with ingrediants on merchant and same merchant giving a profit for finished product you did not have to pay 50 cent per hour to someone to do the farming. This is why you simply can never have crafting from vendor purchased items yeild a profit. The bot is too simple to write.
 
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